ANALISA PENGARUH TINGKAT INFLASI DAN PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO TERHADAP JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR DI INDONESIA TAHUN 1992-2006

YUSRI, YUSRI (2008) ANALISA PENGARUH TINGKAT INFLASI DAN PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO TERHADAP JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR DI INDONESIA TAHUN 1992-2006. Other thesis, University of Muhammadiyah Malang.

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Abstract

Title of this research is Analysis on the Effect of Inflation Level and Gross Domestic Product to the Amount of Circulated Money in Indonesia in 1992-1996 . With the subject matter to be solved is to know whether there are simultaneous or partial effects between inflation and gross domestic product in influencing the amount of circulated money. Purpose of this research is to know whether there are simultaneous and partial effects between inflation and gross domestic product to the amount of circulated money. Analysis instrument used to answer the research purpose is double linear regression. From the analysis result shows that inflation level has negative effect on the amount of circulated money (M1), while gross domestic product has positive effect on it (M1). It can be seen from the value of TCount¬ on X1 as many as -0.415 and so does Tcount on X2, 35.095. While for Fcount are 643.260, where all of them are larger than Ftable of 3.88. It means that simultaneously, variable has effect. Coefficient value of each variabel shows that inflation level has negative quality and gross domestic product has positive quality. It refers to the above theory. Nevertheless, there is external factor that affecting the above model. It can be seen from the abnormal residual value on regression equation used in this research. Based on the research result, hence the research implication is that the amount of circulated money does not affected by the inflation level and gross domestic product, but also by another variables. For instance, sector of government, banking, private and also overseas. It shows that the amount of circulated money in Indonesia can not be controlled completely by monetary authority. Government should still give priority which is very high to purpose to keep stability of economics and princip the real action which is instrumens policy fiscal and monetary policy used koordinatedly balance to reach the purpose of macro that have been fixed.

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