## PERAMALAN HASIL REALISASI PENERIMAAN PAJAK REKLAME DI KANTOR DINAS PENDAPATAN DAERAH KABUPATEN MALANG DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING

Fitriah, Aini (2008) PERAMALAN HASIL REALISASI PENERIMAAN PAJAK REKLAME DI KANTOR DINAS PENDAPATAN DAERAH KABUPATEN MALANG DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING. Other thesis, University of Muhammadiyah Malang.

 Preview
Text
PERAMALAN_HASIL_REALISASI_PENERIMAAN_PAJAK_REKLAME_DI_KANTOR_DINAS_PENDAPATAN_DAERAH_KABUPATEN_MALANG_DENGAN_MENGGUNAKAN_METODE_SINGLE_EXPONENTIAL_SMOOTHING.pdf

## Abstract

Expectation is an activity that interprets what will happen in the future based on the relevant data from the past. A good expectation method gives result which is not different with the fact. Nowadays, this expectation holds very important role in determining both continuity of company and government. Expectation is also used systematically to solve many kinds of problems. One example of government problem is taxes. This research uses the data of realization result of advertisement tax acceptance from district income department (DISPENDA) of Malang regency, and analyzes it by using single exponential smoothing method. It is one of methods that can be used for expecting data with random character. This method purposes to get the minimum absolute percentage of mistake by taking trial error value. for To get the expectation result of realization advertisement tax acceptance 2007, the data is analyzed by using single ) Ft Xt + (1- exponential smoothing method Ft+1 = = 0.1 and value of = 0.99, then it is tested by standard statistic and up to Durbin-Watson test, so the result of minimum mistake (galat) is in point = 0.99 is optimal parameter that is used in = 0.99. Then of expecting realization result of advertisement tax acceptance every year. From this research the expectation realization result of advertisement tax acceptance was got Rp 1506417193.80.

Item Type: Thesis (Other) L Education > L Education (General) Faculty of Teacher Training and Education > Department of Mathematics Education (84202) Anggit Aldila 03 May 2012 07:00 03 May 2012 07:00 http://eprints.umm.ac.id/id/eprint/4142