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PENGARUH INFLASI DAN NERACA PERDAGANGAN TERHADAP KURS TUKAR RUPIAH

Novianti, Erik (2014) PENGARUH INFLASI DAN NERACA PERDAGANGAN TERHADAP KURS TUKAR RUPIAH. Other thesis, University of Muhammadiyah Malang.

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Abstract

The purpose of the research is to know the factors which effect and which the most dominant factor in its effect on the exchange rate of rupiah in Indonesia.In this study, the authors take the hypothesis predicted inflation and trade balance significantly influential over the exchange rate of rupiah from January 2010 to June 2013. Analysis tools are used to determine the influence between inflation and trade balance against the exchange rate of rupiah is a multiple linear regression. In the application of multiple linear analysis using two steps namely testing econometrics and statistical testing.In testing performed pendekteksian Econometrics relevant heterokedastisitas, autocorrelation and normality. Whereas statistical testing using the test t (t-test) and test F (F-test). Results of calculation with binary linear regression analysis of the diperleh of the determination coefficient (R2) amounted to 58.5%. In testing the assumptions with the detection of miltikolinearitas, heterokedastisitas and autocorrelation obtained results do not occur in classical assumptions. Hypothesis testing with test F (F-test) simultaneously retrieved the value of the t-test, whereas 27,440 (t-test) partially obtained value by the inflation factor (X 1) $-0,054, and trade balance (x 2) $-7,187. From the results of multiple linear regression analysis, then the inflation factor (X 1) and trade balance (x 2) real effect against the pace of exchange rate of rupiah in Indonesia. Pegujian assumptions by using the relevant heteroskedastisitas, autocorrelation and normality can be said that the significant factor affecting trade balance partially against the exchange rate of rupiah while inflation significantly influential variables simultaneously Against the exchange rate of rupiah.

Item Type: Thesis (Other)
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Divisions: Faculty of Economics > Department of Management (61201)
Depositing User: Fitri Ramandhany
Date Deposited: 18 Feb 2016 06:02
Last Modified: 18 Feb 2016 06:02
URI : http://eprints.umm.ac.id/id/eprint/20369

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